Global_Macro
@Marcomadness2

Chief Investment Officer, Fed Watcher, Author and TV/radio Contributor. Opinions are my own.

 New York
amazon.com/End-Risk-Free-Rat…
Joined April 2020
6,075 Photos and videos
A lost decade in bonds well under way
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Tech in a funk
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Yields for real
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Global_Macro retweeted
Daily Chartbook
@dailychartbook
18h
"Interest rate-sensitive sectors are now the most oversold they have been in five years." @RealInvAdvice
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Hyperscalers are expected to return to FCF positive in 2028. JPMAM
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Global_Macro retweeted
E.J. Antoni, Ph.D.
@RealEJAntoni
Oct 2
Manufacturing was on a three-year slide, hemorrhaging jobs, but has been rising this year - a welcomed reversal to a sector that had been hammered since '22:
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Global_Macro retweeted
Ryan Detrick, CMT
@RyanDetrick
Oct 2
20% of stocks in the S&P 500 above their 50-day MA, which is where things bottomed in late March.
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The Fed intervention
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Crack spread correlation breaking down
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France is the new Greece
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Tokens to the Moon
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The spread problem
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German 10Y
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Global_Macro retweeted
Luke Kawa
@LJKawa
Oct 1
JPMorgan on September retail flows: “Largest rotation into long-end Treasury ETFs on record — and driven mainly by outsized inflows into $TLT as yields kept drifting higher.”
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The cyclical side of the economy is buckling under higher rates and higher diesel prices
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When a deflationary economy suddenly finds itself gripped by inflation
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Yields hit restrictive levels, but perhaps not restrictive enough
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When real yields lead nominal yields
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"Open for Business" has not led to lower oil prices
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The updated Fibonacci chart
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Global_Macro retweeted
Liz Thomas
@LizThomasStrat
Sep 28
The market is pricing in about 4 additional 25 bp rate hikes through 2027, but look how hawkish the distribution is: 10th percentile: 2 rate cuts 20th percentile: No change (gulp) 80th percentile: 7 rate hikes (uhm...) 90th percentile: 10 rate hikes (what?!)
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