ISM Manufacturing barely moved. The internals did.
September PMI came in at 54.5 vs. 55.0 expected, essentially flat from 54.6 in August.
But underneath the headline:
• New Orders: 55.3, up from 53.7
• Employment: 52.7, up from 51.2
• Supplier Deliveries: 59.0, still signaling slower deliveries
• Prices Paid: 77.9, up sharply from 71.1
So the picture is pretty clear: demand is holding up, hiring is improving, but inflation pressure inside manufacturing is building again.
That last part matters for rates.