Your hub for elections. 🇺🇸 Detailed maps, live election night coverage, and analysis backed by deeper data. Nonpartisan and independent.

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South Dakota U.S. Senate Our polls+fundamentals model (pictured below) moved from Solid R → Likely R. Our forecasted margin is R+14.3 in our Complete model (which remains Solid R) and R+12.1 in our Legacy model.
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Polls are now closed in South Padre Island, Texas, where Rita Hernandez and Gayle Hood are facing off in a special election to fill the vacant Place 1 seat on the City Council. 597 voters cast ballots before Election Day. Results are expected shortly.
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On the issues facing South Padre Island 🏖️ Hernandez wants more parking before new development, further study before expanding the convention center, and tighter spending controls. Hood’s priorities include stricter short-term rental enforcement, coastal protection, and tourism.
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City of South Padre Island, TX 🏖️ City Council Place 1 (At-Large) Final unofficial results: Rita Hernandez – 522 (71.8%) Gayle Hood – 205 (28.2%)
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City of South Padre Island, TX 🏖️ City Council Place 1 (At-Large) Final unofficial results: Rita Hernandez – 522 (71.8%) Gayle Hood – 205 (28.2%)
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This was a nonpartisan race. For context on the candidates' positions:
On the issues facing South Padre Island 🏖️ Hernandez wants more parking before new development, further study before expanding the convention center, and tighter spending controls. Hood’s priorities include stricter short-term rental enforcement, coastal protection, and tourism.
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Our model projects South Padre Island, which backed Trump by 20+ points in 2024, to come within single digits in this year’s Senate race. The resort town is 64% white and 30% Hispanic. We expect white voters to shift left less, keeping its swing below Texas overall.
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Trump asks his supporters at a rally tonight in Ohio to "just pretend" he is on the ballot: “Even if you hate Jon Husted, even if you hate Vivek Ramaswamy, you're gonna go out, you're gonna vote.”
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On the issues facing South Padre Island 🏖️ Hernandez wants more parking before new development, further study before expanding the convention center, and tighter spending controls. Hood’s priorities include stricter short-term rental enforcement, coastal protection, and tourism.
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Polls are now closed in South Padre Island, Texas, where Rita Hernandez and Gayle Hood are facing off in a special election to fill the vacant Place 1 seat on the City Council. 597 voters cast ballots before Election Day. Results are expected shortly.
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One month until first polls close.
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NEW — Nearly 21 million Medicare enrollees are set to receive one-time $90 payments this month ahead of the midterms. Direct-deposit recipients will also receive an email or letter from President Trump in mid-October, according to CMS.
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Georgia GOP gubernatorial nominee Rick Jackson currently has nearly as much advertising booked as Democrats do across the governor’s races in Florida, Texas, Georgia, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Nevada combined, per @politico.
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NEW — Florida Democratic gubernatorial nominee David Jolly says he would consider a mid-decade congressional redraw if elected, arguing Democrats could “claw back four or six congressional seats,” per @politico.
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Rep. Burchett’s effort to block Avila Chevalier from taking her seat would invoke a rarely used House procedure allowing a single member-elect to object to another taking the oath. The last comparable case involving conduct rather than a disputed election came in 1967, when the House ultimately voted to exclude Rep.-elect Adam Clayton Powell Jr. The Supreme Court later ruled the exclusion unconstitutional.
Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN) says he will try to block NY-13 Democratic nominee and democratic socialist Darializa Avila Chevalier from taking her seat in Congress over a deleted 2019 post saying she used an American flag as a napkin, per @nypost.
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