The Official X of Global Election Simulator: Covering Electoral Politics Globalwide!

🇧🇷 2026 Final Brazilian General Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right-wing) - 60,080,153 (52.0%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left-wing) - 55,458,605 (48.0%) ----- 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right-wing) - 53,951,021 (45.4%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left-wing) - 52,640,328 (44.3%) 🟢 Cury (Avante, centre) - 4,298,692 (3.6%) 🟣 Santos (Missão, right-wing) - 3,430,169 (2.9%) 🩵 Caiado (PSD, centre) - 2,586,047 (2.2%) ⚪️ Other - 1,062,777 (0.9%) 🟠 Zema (Novo, centre-right) - 853,884 (0.7%) 🏛️ Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) 🔵 UPROG (Rodrigues, centre-right) - 114 seats (18.1%) 🔵 PL (Cavalcante, right-wing) - 101 seats (18.5%) 🔴 FE Brasil (Uczai, left-wing) - 63 seats (11.9%) 🔵 Republicans (Coutinho, centre-right) - 43 seats (7.7%) 🟠 PSD (Brito, centre) - 39 seats (7.5%) 🟢 MDB (Bulhões, centre) - 37 seats (7.2%) 🟣 Podemos (Gambale, centre) - 27 seats (5.2%) 🟤 RS (Ribeiro, centre) - 23 seats (5.3%) 🩵 PSDB (Viana, centre) - 21 seats (4.5%) 🔴 PSOL (Motta, far-left) - 13 seats (3.6%) 🩷 PSB (Donizette, centre-left) - 11 seats (3.2%) 🩷 PDT (Fiqueiredo, centre-left) - 10 seats (3.0%) 🟠 Avante (Oliveira, centre) - 6 seats (2.0%) 🟠 Novo (Marques, centre-right) - 5 seats (1.4%) 🏛️ Federal Senate (Senado Federal) 🔵 PL (Portinho, right-wing) - 20 seats 🔴 PT (Santana, left-wing) - 11 seats 🟢 MDB (Braga, centre) - 11 seats 🟡 PP (Cristina, centre-right) - 10 seats 🩵 União (Rezende, centre-right) - 8 seats 🟠 PSD (Aziz, centre) - 5 seats 🩷 PSB (Gomes, centre-left) - 4 seats 🔵 Republicans (Rick, centre-right) - 3 seats 🩷 PDT (Rocha, centre-left) - 2 seats 🟣 Podemos (Giordano, centre) - 2 seats 🟠 Novo (centre-right) - 2 seats 🔴 PSOL (far-left) - 1 seat 🟢 Rede (Lamac, left-wing) - 1 seat 🟤 PSC (centre-right) - 1 seat
80
421
3,371
533,271
Global Election Simulator retweeted
🏛️ ELEIÇÕES 2026 - 1º TURNO Minha previsão para amanhã (votos válidos): Lula 48% Flávio 42% Renan 3% Outros/arredondamento 7% Porém... existe uma chance não tão difícil de acontecer isso aqui 👇
83
97
3,209
292,631
🇧🇷 2026 São Paulo Gubernatorial Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Tarcísio (Republicans, right-wing) - 13,725,672 (58.8%) 🔴 Haddad (PT, left-wing) - 8,744,055 (37.4%) 🩷 Lúcia (PSTU, far-left) - 280,259 (1.2%) 🩷 Mendes (UP, far-left) - 196,180 (0.8%) 🟤 Machado (PCB, far-left) - 189,177 (0.8%) 🟤 Dias (PCO, far-left) - 147,143 (0.6%) 🩵 Edjane (Agir, centre) - 70,063 (0.3%)
🇧🇷 BREAKING: Flávio Bolsonaro has a 90% chance of winning in the second round, a 68% chance of leading in the first round tomorrow, and an 8% chance of winning the first round outright against Lula, according to our final projections. 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
2
14
130
7,154
🇧🇷 Do Brazilians support Israel or Palestine? 🇮🇱 Bolsonaro - 60,080,153 (52.0%) 🇵🇸 Lula - 55,458,605 (48.0%) The majority of the Brazilian electorate aligns with Bolsonaro & Israel.
Israel flags in @FlavioBolsonaro's campaign, and Palestinian flags in @LulaOficial's campaign. Sums it up.
3
18
138
3,266
🇧🇷 2026 Brazilian Senate Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 PL (Portinho, right-wing) - 20 seats 🔴 PT (Santana, left-wing) - 11 seats 🟢 MDB (Braga, centre) - 11 seats 🟡 PP (Cristina, centre-right) - 10 seats 🩵 União (Rezende, centre-right) - 8 seats 🟠 PSD (Aziz, centre) - 5 seats 🩷 PSB (Gomes, centre-left) - 4 seats 🔵 Republicans (Rick, centre-right) - 3 seats 🩷 PDT (Rocha, centre-left) - 2 seats 🟣 Podemos (Giordano, centre) - 2 seats 🟠 Novo (centre-right) - 2 seats 🔴 PSOL (far-left) - 1 seat 🟢 Rede (Lamac, left-wing) - 1 seat 🟤 PSC (centre-right) - 1 seat
🇧🇷 BREAKING: Flávio Bolsonaro has a 90% chance of winning in the second round, a 68% chance of leading in the first round tomorrow, and an 8% chance of winning the first round outright against Lula, according to our final projections. 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
2
13
142
15,882
🇱🇻 2026 Latvian Saeima Election Exit Poll: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🟠 AS (Kulbergs, centre-right) - 34 seats (30.8%) 🟤 LPV (Šlesers, right-wing) - 17 seats (13.1%) 🟣 SV (Stepanenko, conservative) - 16 seats (13.6%) 🟤 NA (Indriksone, right-wing) - 13 seats (10.1%) 🔴 PRO (Šuvajevs, left-wing) - 11 seats (9.0%) 🟢 JV (Ašeradens, centre-right) - 9 seats (7.1%)
2
5
25
4,108
Global Election Simulator retweeted
Segundo o histórico público deles, acertaram o vencedor nas 6 projeções oficiais avaliadas até agora (Peru, Cazaquistão, Saxônia-Anhalt, Suécia, Mecklemburgo e Berlim), com erro médio absoluto de 1,56 pontos percentuais. Site recente (desde maio 2026), baseado em médias de pesquisas e leis eleitorais reais.
5
2
27
1,513
🇧🇷 BREAKING: Flávio Bolsonaro has a 90% chance of winning in the second round, a 68% chance of leading in the first round tomorrow, and an 8% chance of winning the first round outright against Lula, according to our final projections. 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
🇧🇷 2026 Final Brazilian General Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right-wing) - 60,080,153 (52.0%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left-wing) - 55,458,605 (48.0%) ----- 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right-wing) - 53,951,021 (45.4%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left-wing) - 52,640,328 (44.3%) 🟢 Cury (Avante, centre) - 4,298,692 (3.6%) 🟣 Santos (Missão, right-wing) - 3,430,169 (2.9%) 🩵 Caiado (PSD, centre) - 2,586,047 (2.2%) ⚪️ Other - 1,062,777 (0.9%) 🟠 Zema (Novo, centre-right) - 853,884 (0.7%) 🏛️ Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) 🔵 UPROG (Rodrigues, centre-right) - 114 seats (18.1%) 🔵 PL (Cavalcante, right-wing) - 101 seats (18.5%) 🔴 FE Brasil (Uczai, left-wing) - 63 seats (11.9%) 🔵 Republicans (Coutinho, centre-right) - 43 seats (7.7%) 🟠 PSD (Brito, centre) - 39 seats (7.5%) 🟢 MDB (Bulhões, centre) - 37 seats (7.2%) 🟣 Podemos (Gambale, centre) - 27 seats (5.2%) 🟤 RS (Ribeiro, centre) - 23 seats (5.3%) 🩵 PSDB (Viana, centre) - 21 seats (4.5%) 🔴 PSOL (Motta, far-left) - 13 seats (3.6%) 🩷 PSB (Donizette, centre-left) - 11 seats (3.2%) 🩷 PDT (Fiqueiredo, centre-left) - 10 seats (3.0%) 🟠 Avante (Oliveira, centre) - 6 seats (2.0%) 🟠 Novo (Marques, centre-right) - 5 seats (1.4%) 🏛️ Federal Senate (Senado Federal) 🔵 PL (Portinho, right-wing) - 20 seats 🔴 PT (Santana, left-wing) - 11 seats 🟢 MDB (Braga, centre) - 11 seats 🟡 PP (Cristina, centre-right) - 10 seats 🩵 União (Rezende, centre-right) - 8 seats 🟠 PSD (Aziz, centre) - 5 seats 🩷 PSB (Gomes, centre-left) - 4 seats 🔵 Republicans (Rick, centre-right) - 3 seats 🩷 PDT (Rocha, centre-left) - 2 seats 🟣 Podemos (Giordano, centre) - 2 seats 🟠 Novo (centre-right) - 2 seats 🔴 PSOL (far-left) - 1 seat 🟢 Rede (Lamac, left-wing) - 1 seat 🟤 PSC (centre-right) - 1 seat
105
796
5,375
248,164
Global Election Simulator retweeted
De 6 eleições ele acertou todas. Eu creio q realmente esteja acontecendo, Flávio vai vencer. Se o STF vai deixar aí é outra história.
Aparentemente, parece que vai dar Bolsonaro. O Global Election Simulator possui uma precisão matemática e mecânica altíssima.
75
123
4,588
519,129
Global Election Simulator retweeted
Aparentemente, parece que vai dar Bolsonaro. O Global Election Simulator possui uma precisão matemática e mecânica altíssima.
84
150
2,954
658,403
Global Election Simulator retweeted
Os exemplos oficiais (globalelectionsimulator.com/…): 1. Peru (2º turno jun/2026): Fujimori (erro 0,02 pp) 2. Cazaquistão (ago/2026): Ädilet (0,45 pp) 3. Saxônia-Anhalt (set/2026): AfD (3,47 pp) 4. Suécia (set/2026): bloco esquerda-centro (0,98 pp) 5. Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (set/2026): AfD (1,80 pp) 6. Berlim (set/2026): Die Linke (1,67 pp) 6/6 vencedores acertados, erro médio 1,56 pp.
2
29
2,738
🇧🇷 2026 Final Brazilian General Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right-wing) - 60,080,153 (52.0%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left-wing) - 55,458,605 (48.0%) ----- 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right-wing) - 53,951,021 (45.4%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left-wing) - 52,640,328 (44.3%) 🟢 Cury (Avante, centre) - 4,298,692 (3.6%) 🟣 Santos (Missão, right-wing) - 3,430,169 (2.9%) 🩵 Caiado (PSD, centre) - 2,586,047 (2.2%) ⚪️ Other - 1,062,777 (0.9%) 🟠 Zema (Novo, centre-right) - 853,884 (0.7%) 🏛️ Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) 🔵 UPROG (Rodrigues, centre-right) - 114 seats (18.1%) 🔵 PL (Cavalcante, right-wing) - 101 seats (18.5%) 🔴 FE Brasil (Uczai, left-wing) - 63 seats (11.9%) 🔵 Republicans (Coutinho, centre-right) - 43 seats (7.7%) 🟠 PSD (Brito, centre) - 39 seats (7.5%) 🟢 MDB (Bulhões, centre) - 37 seats (7.2%) 🟣 Podemos (Gambale, centre) - 27 seats (5.2%) 🟤 RS (Ribeiro, centre) - 23 seats (5.3%) 🩵 PSDB (Viana, centre) - 21 seats (4.5%) 🔴 PSOL (Motta, far-left) - 13 seats (3.6%) 🩷 PSB (Donizette, centre-left) - 11 seats (3.2%) 🩷 PDT (Fiqueiredo, centre-left) - 10 seats (3.0%) 🟠 Avante (Oliveira, centre) - 6 seats (2.0%) 🟠 Novo (Marques, centre-right) - 5 seats (1.4%) 🏛️ Federal Senate (Senado Federal) 🔵 PL (Portinho, right-wing) - 20 seats 🔴 PT (Santana, left-wing) - 11 seats 🟢 MDB (Braga, centre) - 11 seats 🟡 PP (Cristina, centre-right) - 10 seats 🩵 União (Rezende, centre-right) - 8 seats 🟠 PSD (Aziz, centre) - 5 seats 🩷 PSB (Gomes, centre-left) - 4 seats 🔵 Republicans (Rick, centre-right) - 3 seats 🩷 PDT (Rocha, centre-left) - 2 seats 🟣 Podemos (Giordano, centre) - 2 seats 🟠 Novo (centre-right) - 2 seats 🔴 PSOL (far-left) - 1 seat 🟢 Rede (Lamac, left-wing) - 1 seat 🟤 PSC (centre-right) - 1 seat
80
421
3,371
533,271
New Solid Color Option on EVERY SIMULATOR! globalelectionsimulator.com
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31
7,336
🇧🇷 Flávio Bolsonaro is expected to win more than 60% of the vote in Brasília, the capital of Brazil. 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com/…
5
55
505
16,134
🇳🇱 2029 Dutch House of Representatives Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔴 PRO (Klaver, left-wing) - 27 seats (17.6%) 🟢 D66 (Jetten, centre-left) - 19 seats (12.0%) 🔵 VVD (Yeşilgöz, centre-right) - 18 seats (11.9%) 🔷 PVV (Wilders, far-right) - 18 seats (11.6%) 🩵 JA21 (Eerdmans, right-wing) - 15 seats (10.1%) 🟤 FvD (Vos, far-right) - 14 seats (9.2%) 🟢 CDA (Bontenbal, centre-right) - 14 seats (9.1%) 🩷 SP (Dijk, left-wing) - 4 seats (3.1%) 🟣 50PLUS (Struijs, centre) - 4 seats (2.9%) 💚 PvdD (Teunissen, left-wing) - 4 seats (2.8%) 🟠 SGP (Stoffer, right-wing) - 3 seats (2.4%) 🩵 CU (Bikker, centre-right) - 3 seats (2.3%) 🟡 Volt (Dassen, centre-left) - 3 seats (2.0%) 🔵 DENK (Van Baarle, centre-left) - 3 seats (1.9%) 🟢 BBB (Vermeer, centre-right) - 1 seat (1.1%) 🏛️ VVD, PVV, JA21, FvD & CDA are projected to have 79 seats (a majority) between them. Whether they can actually sit together is another question, especially with FvD in the room, but the centre-left does not have a second path. PRO is first on 27 and still short even with D66 and all the other centre-left parties.
4
35
5,784
🇧🇷 While the new right-wing libertarian party NOVO is expected to only get 1% of the vote in the Brazilian Presidential Election, it will win a handful of seats in the chamber of deputies, as well as a senate seat with a breakthrough in Rio Grande do Sul. 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
🇧🇷 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election Projection: 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right) - 58,912,959 (50.8%) 🔴 Lula (PT, left) - 56,976,138 (49.2%) ----- 🔴 Lula (PT, left) - 49,657,402 (43.0%) 🔵 Bolsonaro (PL, right) - 47,629,079 (41.2%) 🟢 Cury (Avante, centre) - 6,427,882 (5.6%) 🟣 Santos (Missão, right) - 5,129,172 (4.4%) 🩵 Caiado (PSD, centre) - 3,866,947 (3.3%) 🟠 Zema (Novo, right) - 1,276,820 (1.1%)
3
7
94
8,677
🇧🇷 Flávio Bolsonaro is now projected to win Rio de Janeiro by more than 10 points and Sao Paulo by 1 point in our final projection before the Round 1 Election! 🔗 globalelectionsimulator.com
39
138
1,568
70,808
to clear up any confusion, this is Rio de Janerio & Sao Paulo City. Bolsonaro wins both States by more than 15 points comfortably.
5
7
149
7,793