Buy and hold is not a process... Buy and hold is a recipe to give back half or more of what you have earned over the last 5-10 years. Have a process and understand risk. You can make back money but not time.
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Has there ever been a stupider idea to increase interest rate rates whenever people are struggling with affordability caused by a supply shock?
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Michael Lebowitz, CFA retweeted
Regardless of the headline, the employment report was cyclically strong. But importantly, the economy is far less dependent on employee income than it was historically. The Fed will have to cool the labor market more than usual to achieve the same effect.
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Can Anthropic Outearn Its Obligations? simplevisor.substack.com/p/c…
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Stocks are priced to return about 2 points a year less than the 10-year Treasury, the second-weakest setup for stocks versus bonds since 1881. The "death" of 60/40 may be a bit premature! realinvestmentadvice.com/res…
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The Swap Market Says Treasury And AI Debt Is Not A Problem simplevisor.substack.com/p/t…
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Michael Lebowitz, CFA retweeted
With September in the books, the 2-year UST has risen 7 straight months for a cumulative +150 bps change during this streak, the longest since April 2022.
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Stocks are priced to return about 2 points a year less than the 10-year Treasury, the second-weakest setup for stocks versus bonds since 1881. The "death" of 60/40 may be a bit premature! realinvestmentadvice.com/res…
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Higher Yields Flipped The Math In The Investors’ Favor simplevisor.substack.com/p/h…
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McDonald’s At Four-Year Lows Isn’t As Worrisome As Some Fear simplevisor.substack.com/p/m…
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CMBS Losses Reach The AAA Tranche Again simplevisor.substack.com/p/c…
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Michael Lebowitz, CFA retweeted
The US 10-year Treasury bond is now at its highest yield in 19 years. Will stocks start to crack as a result? @michaellebowitz says we're already seeing signs they are WATCH: piped.video/6StWMU3ziq0
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RT @LanceRoberts: 9-25-26 From TINA To TIGA: 5% Treasuries Are Changing Asset Allocation w/ @michaellebowitz Investors are being forced t…
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A collapsing yen, heavy import dependence, and the developed world's biggest debt load — Japan has every ingredient for runaway inflation and 1.9% CPI to show for it. The real story isn't that debt doesn't matter. It's that it works the opposite way most people think. realinvestmentadvice.com/res…
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RT @LanceRoberts: Are Bonds the Markets' next opportunity? @michaellebowitz and I look at what current bond-market conditions may be signal…
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No Relief At The Pump Despite Crude Falling simplevisor.substack.com/p/n…
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A collapsing yen, heavy import dependence, and the developed world's biggest debt load — Japan has every ingredient for runaway inflation and 1.9% CPI to show for it. The real story isn't that debt doesn't matter. It's that it works the opposite way most people think. realinvestmentadvice.com/res…
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A collapsing yen, heavy import dependence, and the developed world's biggest debt load — Japan has every ingredient for runaway inflation and 1.9% CPI to show for it. The real story isn't that debt doesn't matter. It's that it works the opposite way most people think. realinvestmentadvice.com/res…
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The FOMC Sees Zero Downside Economic Risks simplevisor.substack.com/p/t…
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Rotation coming? Got Utilities? Might also be a signal bond yields are peaking, at least temporarily.
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