Preference is in Shanghai for @themu_xyz learning, traveling, commingling. We are building the only tool you need for prediction market research. Connect to +900 tools and find your edge. Just give this skill to you agent: pref.trade/skill.md
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pref.trade retweeted
Simmer x World Cup 2026 is live 🏆 Describe any trading strategy in plain English, or just paste an X thread. Simmer turns it into a runnable skill for your agent. The World Cup is the arena. Our first featured skill: the Worldcup Shock Ladder. It fades panic-driven price moves in live match markets on @Polymarket. Every week of the tournament, a $250 rewards pool is split between the skills driving the most volume and the members bringing in the most active traders. The pool grows as sponsors come on board. Kickoff June 11 ⚽️ simmer.markets/worldcup
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We have been building for this future where agents will trade for you. Allowing agents to trade is only the first step. Right now the biggest problem in agentic trading is the actual *context* your agent trades on. Agents simply don't have enough structured data to make the right judgement. It will eventually hallucinate and make dumb trades. We are solving this problem. Preference provides structured data and a logic layer so your agent can make the right calls.
Introducing Co-Invest. (@coinvestai) The first way to trade directly through ChatGPT and Claude.
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The dev cannot chill Use pref Make moni
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You cannot simply stop us from building. We are actively building Preference for better speed, logic, and uptime. The restaurant prized us with an extra table for codemaxxing.
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It is what it is
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We’re building Preference MCP into a real-time intel layer for prediction market workflows. Not just market data. Not just probabilities. We deliver: 1. Real-time access to Polymarket, Kalshi, Hyperliquid, news, weather, shipping, flights, filings, and more 2. One connection instead of a mess of separate APIs 3. Cross-source context around why a market is moving 4. Better agent outputs by linking market data with outside-world signals The edge? Good trades come from connecting the dots. Preference helps agents do that faster
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We call it the art of the deal
JUST IN: Iran just sent its newest proposal for US
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unmarked aircrafts identified around Iran's southern airspace > civilian aircraft always have squawks > aircraft operating in restricted military zones often don't broadcast squawks > drones can operate without Mode-S squawk assignments we are Monitoring The Situation.
Reports of air defense activity over southern Tehran.
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Maybe it’s a Hormuz crisis But my heart keeps beating loud for Hegseth-chan
JUST IN: Trump rejects Iran’s offer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, says the U.S. blockade will remain until Tehran agrees to a nuclear deal.
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As @ArtificialAnlys dropped the article Polymarket's "best AI model end of April" market had OpenAI spike up to 15¢ But there are only six days left until resolution. The big caveat is that this market resolves on LMArena. To collect this market, OpenAI needs GPT-5.5 added to Arena, voted on by enough users to stabilize an Elo, and then clear 1505, all in six days. OpenAI itself delayed the API "for safety scaling," which is the only part of Thursday's release that Polymarket cares about. Without the API, there is no Arena access. Without Arena access, the Elo never moves. 15 cents is the market saying "yes GPT-5.5 is good, no six days is not enough." If the API had dropped on Thursday the number would be 30 cents tomorrow. It did not drop. Stron NO buy.
GPT-5.5 takes OpenAI back to the clear number one in AI. OpenAI’s new model tops the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index by 3 points, breaking a three-way tie with Anthropic and Google OpenAI gave us pre-release access to test all five reasoning effort levels: xhigh, high, medium, low and non-reasoning. ➤ OpenAI topping five headline evaluations: GPT-5.5 (xhigh) leads Terminal-Bench Hard, GDPval-AA and our newly hosted APEX-Agents-AA. The model trails only other OpenAI models in CritPt and AA-LCR, and comes second to Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview on three additional evaluations. The largest gains are on AA-Omniscience (+14 pts), our knowledge and hallucination benchmark, and τ²-Bench Telecom (+7 pts), a customer service agent benchmark. ➤ 20% more expensive to run our Intelligence Index: Per-token pricing has doubled from GPT-5.4 to $5/$30 per 1M input/output tokens. However, a ~40% token use reduction largely absorbs the hike - resulting in a net ~+20% cost to run our Intelligence Index. ➤ Effort a clear ladder for balancing intelligence and cost: GPT-5.5 (medium) scores the same as Claude Opus 4.7 (max) on our Intelligence Index at one quarter of the cost (~$1,200 vs $4,800) - although Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview scores the same at a cost of ~$900. GPT-5.5 (low) approximates Claude Opus 4.7 (Non-reasoning, high) on our Intelligence Index at half the cost to run (~$500 vs ~$1 ,000). ➤ Number one in GDPval-AA with an Elo of 1785: GPT-5.5 (xhigh) leads Claude Opus 4.7 (max) by ~30 pts and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview by ~470 pts. GDPval-AA is Artificial Analysis’ benchmark that leverages OpenAI’s GDPval dataset to evaluate models on real-world economically valuable tasks. ➤ Top AA-Omniscience accuracy, but trailing the frontier on hallucination: Our private AA-Omniscience benchmark rewards factual knowledge across diverse topics, but punishes hallucination. GPT-5.5 (xhigh) has the highest accuracy at 57% - meaning the model can recall facts in the Omniscience corpus more effectively than any other model. However, it has a hallucination rate of 86% - vs Opus 4.7 (max) at 36%, and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at 50%. This makes it more likely to answer a question when it does not ‘know’ the answer. The 14 pt gain in AA-Omniscience from GPT-5.4 (xhigh) was largely driven by knowledge, with a modest improvement in hallucination. Congratulations to the team at @OpenAI and @sama on the launch
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DEEPSEEK V4-PREVIEW DOESNT COUNT ON POLYMARKET?!
🚀 DeepSeek-V4 Preview is officially live & open-sourced! Welcome to the era of cost-effective 1M context length. 🔹 DeepSeek-V4-Pro: 1.6T total / 49B active params. Performance rivaling the world's top closed-source models. 🔹 DeepSeek-V4-Flash: 284B total / 13B active params. Your fast, efficient, and economical choice. Try it now at chat.deepseek.com via Expert Mode / Instant Mode. API is updated & available today! 📄 Tech Report: huggingface.co/deepseek-ai/D… 🤗 Open Weights: huggingface.co/collections/d… 1/n
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If you were fast enough on the GPT-5.5 openrouter news you could've bet on Polymarket for a no risk return. You could've bought both Anthropic YES (77%) and OpenAI NO (78.5%) and made +9% EV in a week.
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pref.trade retweeted
launched the first iteration of a Discord agent today for the Polymarket community I've been building. the agent is early. right now it has two things: → /ask command for quick polymarket api doc reference → tool to download any wallets trades into a .zip that gets posted in our data channel.
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The Preference MCP provides real-time data from thousands of sources. You can use it directly in the Claude webapp or plug it into your agent. Give this link to your agent: pref.trade/mcp Get your API keys here: pref.trade
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Give this link to your agent: pref.trade/mcp Get your API keys here: pref.trade
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