Andrew Bumstead retweeted
> hey claude, yeah load up the 2021 skill. call them lemonade stands or something. 3,3, make leaving expensive bank-run resistant, WL reply-guys, put it on whatever chain is hot rn. buy literal gold w the fees. the gold is ours. put that in the disclaimer. make the website beige
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
C. S. Lewis, quit worrying and go do something real
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
A few common macro posts that come up over and over on this platform that you can mostly ignore. 1) “The Fed injected [X billion]…” That’s usually the Fed recycling their maturing securities back into more of the same securities. Or the Fed doing some repo activity, adding a tiny bit of liquidity that comes back out the next day. This year, the Fed is growing their balance sheet very slowly. 2) “The Treasury bought back [X0 billion] of government bonds…” The Treasury performing buybacks on its own debt is interesting because the deepest, most liquid capital market in the world shouldn’t need the issuer assisting with liquidity. And they could potentially shorten duration over time by issuing t-bills to buy back T-bonds, so that’s worth monitoring. But for the most part, these announcements are nothingburgers. The Treasury issues fresh liquid bonds to buy back aging less-liquid bonds. No appreciable impact on your money or investments. 3) The Treasury has [X trillion] in debt to refinance over the next 12 months, how are they possibly gonna find so many buyers?” The vast majority of the Treasury’s debt that will be refinanced over a given year will be bought by the same entities holding it now. They’re holding t-bills, those t-bills mature into cash, and they buy the next t-bill. Money market funds, insurance companies, pensions, individuals, corporations, etc. Posting about gross refinance numbers is popular because the number is big and sensationalist, but it doesn’t mean much, which is why you hear about it for years and it’s fine. Net new issuance (about $2 trillion per year) is mostly what matters, and nothing stops that train. 4) “Banks have [X00 billion] in unrealized losses…” Yeah that was a problem for about one quarter in spring 2023. It’s mostly a non-issue since then but whenever the quarterly number comes out, people love to report it like it’s devastating new information. The number is trending flat-to-down, and it’s a small portion of bank assets and equity capital. Anyway, good morning. Carry on.
BREAKING: The Fed is set to inject over $8,000,000,000 into the economy this week
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The "good choices are boring" message is dishonest. Good choices and bad choices both lead to predictable results. Just because the gratification is delayed doesn't make it boring and vise versa.
The future of leisure is fitness, running clubs are replacing night clubs for young people, alcohol consumption is falling, and oral GLP1s are going to melt literally billions of pounds of visceral and subcutaneous fat in the next decade in America. The future is gonna be fit as hell (and a little bit boring)
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Big fan of @DKThomp and his push for more housing but please don't undercut the honest tradesmen by importing illegal labor. This isn't the solution.
Very important question: If YIMBY/Abundance is winning in California, why isn't the state building more homes? Brian Hanlon (@hanlonbt): "The main reasons we don’t have housing come down to three basic things." - First, zoning. It’s illegal to build dense housing even when there’s demand. - Second, streamlining and permits. Even if the housing is legal to build, getting approval can be time-consuming, uncertain, and expensive. - Third, costs: not just higher labor costs, but also govt-imposed costs, like inclusionary zoning and parks fees I would add: The most recent YIMBY wins have coincided with a high interest rate environment and a Trump immigration policy that especially affects places like CA that rely on foreign-born workers. That said, interest rates are national and CA's building crisis is special. asteriskmag.substack.com/p/i…
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
He is Risen. The darkness couldn’t hold Him. The grave couldn’t keep Him. Death itself lost today. Happy Easter. ✝️
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LeBron right now.

ALT Momo Smoking GIF

Lakers' Austin Reaves is expected to miss four to six weeks with the Grade 2 oblique injury, sources tell ESPN. Devastating run of injuries to L.A.'s two leading scorers. Reaves and Luka Doncic are expected to be sidelined to begin the NBA playoffs.
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Most of the replies are people paying a subscription to not get the notifications of a smart watch. Opportunity there.
I tried whoop for a couple weeks and couldn’t see any difference between the data my Apple Watch was giving me (for no added cost) using tools like Bevel/Athlytic. Can anyone who swears by whoop tell me how the monthly fee has made a better impact on your health than just your standard wearable tracker like Apple Watch/garmin etc? At least Oura ring is an entirely different form factor 🧐 Am I missing something impactful here or is it just personal preference of what a consumer wants to wear?
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
We built a simple smart contract that lets you instantly exit a Morpho vault, even if it has 0 liquidity. If you’re deposited into “Clearstar Yield USDC”, there is no available liquidity but you can exit via our contract. Link to rescue site, and explanation in next tweet 🔽
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My experience matches this but on a much smaller scale.
I dated the HR lady for a large construction subcontractor (the largest interior firm in the country with tns of thousands of employees - they build every Apple Store and chip fab). She made it very clear that the entire E-Verify system is a total scam. Why? An obvious loophole construct: 1- Illegal aliens all acquire fake documents, often duplicates of working citizen’s information. They pass all inspections because they are “real” documents that have real data behind them that would require law enforcement powers to pierce privacy protections in order to suss out the fraud. 2- It is made very clear that she was never allowed to question documents presented to her. A young Latino man with the name ‘Jeff Smith’ with a 1974 birthdate could *not* be questioned about the obvious misrepresentation on the ID they submitted as long as the photo matched and the physical ID cards passed the cursory inspections a club bouncer at the door performs. When all the info is submitted into E-Verify, it passes with flying colors. Illegal alien employment is not the sort of scam Jason (and many on the left) think it is - where the evil boss man knowingly hires random Latinos he pays under the table at a fat discount to market rates! The company my ex worked for? 100% of their employees were fully documented as valid to work in the USA with a 100% eVerify rate- all paid union wages, health benefits, taxes, etc. Does everyone at the company know like 30% of the workforce is illegal? Yes, but not according to the procedures the government mandates they use to detect legal status.
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
I dated the HR lady for a large construction subcontractor (the largest interior firm in the country with tns of thousands of employees - they build every Apple Store and chip fab). She made it very clear that the entire E-Verify system is a total scam. Why? An obvious loophole construct: 1- Illegal aliens all acquire fake documents, often duplicates of working citizen’s information. They pass all inspections because they are “real” documents that have real data behind them that would require law enforcement powers to pierce privacy protections in order to suss out the fraud. 2- It is made very clear that she was never allowed to question documents presented to her. A young Latino man with the name ‘Jeff Smith’ with a 1974 birthdate could *not* be questioned about the obvious misrepresentation on the ID they submitted as long as the photo matched and the physical ID cards passed the cursory inspections a club bouncer at the door performs. When all the info is submitted into E-Verify, it passes with flying colors. Illegal alien employment is not the sort of scam Jason (and many on the left) think it is - where the evil boss man knowingly hires random Latinos he pays under the table at a fat discount to market rates! The company my ex worked for? 100% of their employees were fully documented as valid to work in the USA with a 100% eVerify rate- all paid union wages, health benefits, taxes, etc. Does everyone at the company know like 30% of the workforce is illegal? Yes, but not according to the procedures the government mandates they use to detect legal status.
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The problem with this take is that the VAST majority of "B" projects say they spend the revenue on "R&D, expanding team etc." When in reality it's just lining the team's pockets, no real innovation is developed, and token holders are left with nothing.
buybacks are an inherently pessimistic mechanism they imply: we don't have a better use for the cash than to paint the chart in the short term (in the hopes that the chart works out long term) it's an implicit binary option where you are in a sense trying to bootstrap the reflexive loop of prices over product growth levers imo this CAN work because some growth is path-dependent and reflexivity in crypto is insane but assume a thought experiment two companies make the same money and have the same profit margins in the same vertical - company A uses 20% for buybacks - company B uses that 20% for product and R&D or growing sales team in the best case for company A, the chart is painted nicely, investors/users make good returns and spread the word and so you get a strong reflexive distribution loop in the worst case, you are hit with macro conditions and the buybacks are a big waste of money in the best case for company B, you develop new products and onboard/retain new users you otherwise wouldn't have regardless of macro in the worst case for B, company A has now exponentially grown and it is hard for you to catch up to the network effects however, company B can also use this money for different types of network effects via referral programs or other incentives if you play this out over let's say 3-5 years and combine it with the cyclic nature of markets, then I would bet that Company B does better almost every single time (all other things equal) since the buybacks will eventually run into market turbulence which will flip sentiment in the company B case also, just the anticipation of future buybacks is probably enough (see stocks) so tl;dr — I think buybacks can work in certain cases, but in contested markets, I'm not so sure they're the best play the edge case seems to be if you're in a tough spot with market sentiment, you can use it to rent short-term sentiment i.e opportunistic buybacks during market crashes when your equity is irrationally cheap, combined with aggressive reinvestment during normal times, might be best obviously I'm saying this from a company/founder lens and not a short/medium-term investor lens
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
If you have used Bungee, like this post if you enjoy using Bungee, RT this post (collecting data for something we're cooking)
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
This is just the beginning. And I don't envy the position of TradFi right now. DeFi is following the trajectory that online media did 2 decades ago, but with a much larger market. Now that regulatory overhang is gone, entrepreneurs can unleash the power of creative destruction and build new types of financial products onchain. Onchain finance is simply a better form of finance. This mostly comes down to 3 things: 1. Crypto payment rails allow global distribution 2. Smart contracts streamline backend processes 3. Tokens make previously illiquid assets liquid The result is higher yields and exposure to a greater variety of assets. Unfortunately for TradFi, switching to onchain rails will be difficult as, even if it's essential to long term survival, it will hurt their core business in the short term. The result: a lot more of this. Attempting to bring back a regulatory moat. To this point, remittance services have been the main business impacted significantly by crypto. In the coming years, that's going to spread to a greater variety of financial institutions, starting with regional banks that can't adapt quickly (similar to how regional newspapers were decimated 20 years ago), before spreading to a greater variety of financial services and large institutions as smart contract automation becomes feasible at scale.
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
time to celebrate $HYPE back over $40 nfts are the best beta to a growing chain which is why i am increasing indirect exposure with hyperevm nfts i have joined @baldbrothers_ and will be giving away one for free - follow me - like the post - retweet - comment your $HYPE price prediction for january 1st 2026 @grok please chose a random winner from the comments in 48h, make sure they follow me and have retweeted i will be joining quite a few more nft communities in the future and will be doing more giveaways, make sure to turn notifications on to stay up to date
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
Venice API use since the launch of $VVV Holders of VVV get free ongoing access to private, uncensored text and image generation via API. If you're building any kind of agent or AI app and you don't want to pay per request, give this a try. venice.ai/api
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
It's not just "court evidence" of course. Your convos with OpenAI are forever exposed to: - Employees - By hackers - Everyone to whom the hackers leak it - Governments that simply ask for it - And, soon enough, by adversarial AI systems that learn how to manipulate you in a thousand ways. Try venice.ai instead for privacy. The only way to ensure privacy is for information to not be stored in the first place.
BREAKING: ChatGPT CEO Sam Altman says people share personal info with ChatGPT but don’t know chats can be used as court evidence in legal cases.
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
This is Circle’s (and most stablecoin issuers’) problem. There is currently no obvious value proposition here for a merchant in a developed economy to take stables. Let’s look at why.
"I accept crypto because crypto is the future" BASED
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
Could've paid $149/yr for Venice.ai and gotten better private models
this guy is getting paid $35,000 to set up an internal “ChatGPT” for a law firm. > locally hosted Llama for LLM > N8N to connect it all. we’re living in the AI gold rush.
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Andrew Bumstead retweeted
ways to make money from crypto: >grant farming >airdrop farming >mev farming >market making >becoming the president of the united states of america ways to not make money from crypto: >buying and selling crypto
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