Prediction markets still feel more curated than they should. That’s why
@xomarket caught my attention.
A few platforms decide which questions deserve a market, users trade what they’re given, and almost everything outside major events gets ignored.
XO 2.0 flips that model around.
-> Anyone can create a market, called a Conviction
-> Creation starts from $10
-> You set the opening odds
-> Demand decides which markets grow
-> Successful Convictions can graduate into full Prediction Markets
And the market can be about almost anything: crypto, sports, internet culture, niche communities, or something only 50 people actually care about.
There’s also an interesting creator layer here. If you create a Conviction people want to trade, you keep 20% of the trading fees it generates for as long as it remains live.
But opening market creation to everyone creates another problem: who decides what actually happened?
That’s where MODRA comes in.
XO’s AI Market Engine assists with creation and resolution, using multiple-agent consensus against a source defined when the market is created. So scaling user-generated markets doesn’t have to mean putting every resolution in the hands of a single party.
The easiest comparison is YouTube.
YouTube gave everyone an upload button and let demand decide what deserved attention. XO is bringing a similar idea to prediction markets.
Create → trade → gain traction → graduate.
Instead of asking what markets a platform should list, I’m more interested in what people will create once anyone can launch one.
I’ll be exploring
@xomarket more over the next few posts.
s.kaito.ai/OpYKeAw