Elon gave China Media Group a 24-minute interview, and the timelines were unusually specific!
Cybercab, the one with no steering wheel, is already running commercially in Texas. Florida and Nevada are next, and California likely by mid-2027. It also uses Tesla's own nickel cathode made at Giga Texas, so the supply chain is in-house too.
On Optimus, he's talking about a billion robots in 10 years. Reports point to initial orders of around 5,000 units and a ramp toward 2,000 to 2,500 a week.
Here's the gap I find interesting. 2,500 a week is about 130,000 a year. A billion in 10 years averages 100 million a year, which is roughly 770x that ramp rate.
So the early ramp isn't the story. The production curve after it is.
He was also candid on AI. Grok 4.7 is behind Anthropic's Opus 5.5, and he expects xAI to catch the frontier sometime next year.
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