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Elon just replied "Exactly" to the clearest math I've seen on what Optimus does to labor. @Rothmus makes a good point here. A person works about 2,000 hours a year. A robot running 168 hours a week works about 8,700, so each one is roughly 4 workers. A billion robots comes to about 4 billion full-time workers, more than the world's whole labor force of 3.5 billion. Run it at a price in the low $20Ks over a 5-year life, and that's under 50 cents an hour before energy and upkeep. I think that's why he lands on energy. Once labor costs that little, the real limit is power and materials. $TSLA
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This was the craziest 7 days of Tesla and SpaceX news I can remember. Here's how I'd sort it. The stuff Tesla and SpaceX control went right! Deliveries beat by about 24,500 cars while inventory fell for a second straight quarter. Starship reached orbit with an engine out. Tesla put $30B of credit on standby, and Elon named Florida, Nevada and California as the next Cybercab states. The stuff other people control holds the calendar: Brussels, NHTSA and Flight 15. Europe now comes down to one speed setting. I think Tesla caps it before December. $TSLA $SPCX
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Elon and Jensen say each gigawatt of AI compute adds about $50–60B a year to the economy. @CernBasher ran it on Ark's SpaceX projections: 2.1 GW this year, 67 GW by 2031. That works out to about 12% of today's US GDP from one company's data centers. Elon says he'd be disappointed if they only hit those numbers. $SPCX
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Wall Street says Tesla hasn't grown in three years. Cern says they're only counting the batteries with wheels. @CernBasher makes a good point here! Car deliveries are flat. Now turn Powerwalls and Megapacks into 75 kWh "cars": that's 669,333 over the last 12 months, up from 314,000 two years ago. Add the two and you get 2.412 million vehicles, a record. In energy terms, that's about 181 GWh in a year. Elon has said Tesla has to choose where its cells go, wheels or no wheels. Some of that "flat" car growth is really cells going to Megapack, which has been the more profitable home. Tesla didn't stop growing. Its growth just moved somewhere Wall Street doesn't count. $TSLA
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Tesla's Q3 report said nothing about Robotaxi, so @CernBasher did the math himself! At 17% weekly growth in paid miles and about 100 miles a day per car, the fleet needs around 450 cars right now. Texas already has 578 registered, including 158 Cybercabs. The catch is that this need doubles every month: about 1,500 cars by the end of November and 3,000 by the end of December. Watch the registrations. October 21 gives us the next data point. $TSLA
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Herbert Ong retweeted
I built a GrokBot agent that thinks like Elon Musk about business! Meet ElonBot. Ask it any business question and it answers in first person the way Elon would. It's blunt, it works from first principles, and it pushes back when your plan is dumb. It also runs a built-in Elon Monitor to keep track of all his latest business posts on X. Type "WWED" (What Would Elon Do?) plus your question and you get a 3-line verdict: → The answer → The principle behind it → Your next move today What's inside: Built on 40+ Elon Musk operating principles, 80+ real case studies from Tesla, SpaceX, xAI and Neuralink, and 485+ verified Elon quotes from his X posts, earnings calls, shareholder meetings, the Master Plans and long-form interviews Every answer cites the principle, quote or case study it's built on Who it's for: founders, operators, creators and anyone building something hard. So much fun being able to "talk" to Elon just like he's there right beside you! Example answers in the replies Here's the link to ElonBot: x.ai/bot/cbtthfw3UvUeoLNeh-9…
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Tesla's Q3 delivery beat looks like a car story. Dan Ives thinks it's really the setup for something else! @DivesTech makes a good point here on CNBC. He says Model 3/Y made up 98% of deliveries, Europe bounced back and demand has stabilized. Cybertruck won't move the needle. The real story is a stock waiting for Robotaxi to scale, then Cybercab and Optimus. He sees 2027 as a golden year and gives a SpaceX–Tesla merger better than 80% odds. Q3 is the appetizer. $TSLA $SPCX
Great to be on @CNBCClosingBell with @FrankCNBC discussing Tesla and the overall tech sector going forward with the AI Revolution hyper growth theme front and center 🔥📺🏆🍿👇🐂 @CNBC @CNBCtech cnbc.com/video/2026/10/02/da…
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Tesla shareholder vote usually runs about 45 days. The legal minimum is 10. @TeslaBoomerMama explains why that gap matters. Retail votes come in early. Institutions wait and vote in the last 24 hours. So most of those 45 days are just waiting. Tesla's fix is pre-voting. You set how you want to vote ahead of time, so when the proxy arrives, you don't have to do anything. Your vote's already in. Exxon asked the SEC for something similar and didn't get it. Goldman tried a rougher version. Tesla is the one that got the SEC to say it won't object. Cutting 45 days to 10 is about 78% shorter, and institutions don't lose a thing. They still vote at the end. The bigger shift is less reliance on proxy advisors. Now it's up to Tesla and brokers like Robinhood, E*TRADE, Fidelity and Schwab to actually build it. $TSLA
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Robotaxi in California by mid-2027? Maybe. Nevada and Florida look closer, with cars reportedly already in place. Tesla is hiring Robotaxi operators in 55 cities worldwide. Some think that points to launches in six to nine months. Hiring isn't launching, though. Austin gets cleaned up first. $TSLA ---------- Cyberbulls E210 🐂 The Bulls: Alexandra @teslaboomermama Jeff @thejefflutz Cern @cernbasher
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Herbert Ong retweeted
Talked about exactly this in the @cyberbulls that is airing right now. There is not enough scrutiny on the proxy advisors (ISS, Glass Lewis, ...). And the fact that they oppose TX as a new corporate domicile is just one of the many conflicts they have.
The proxy advisors themselves face a conflict of interest in making recommendations on these moves because they are locked in a battle with Texas. There hasn't been enough scrutiny of ISS and Glass Lewis in this context.
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$TSLA: Elon Just Lined Up $30 Billion For The Product Nobody's Seen x.lingyaoai.com/i/broadcasts/1MKgNbveN…
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Tesla just set up a $30 billion credit facility. People are going to call it debt, but it's not a bond. Here's how it breaks down. There's a $2 billion one-year revolver that hasn't been touched. Then $20 billion in a three-year delayed-draw term loan, and $8 billion over five years. The delayed-draw part is the key. Tesla doesn't have to take the money. It just has the option, and the undrawn amount steps down over 12 to 18 months. And the terms are good. Tesla is rated BBB, but it reportedly got pricing closer to AAA. In a high-rate environment, that's a big deal. Tesla already has about $43.5 billion in liquidity. Add this and it's about $73.5 billion it can reach if it needs it. I don't think this is about Robotaxi alone. It's flexible, floating-rate funding for whatever comes next, including a possible merger. $TSLA --------------- Cyberbulls E210 🐂 The Bulls: Alexandra @teslaboomermama Jeff @thejefflutz Cern @cernbasher
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Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles in Q3. The Street was expecting about 462,000. That's roughly 24,500 more than consensus, a 5% beat. It even cleared RBC's 464,000, which was one of the more bullish calls going in. Now look at production. Tesla built 464,391 cars but delivered 486,532. So about 22,000 more cars went out the door than were made, which means inventory got drawn down. That's what a supply-constrained quarter looks like. Remember the demand worries from last week? This doesn't fit them. Deliveries were down 2.1% from last year's record Q3, but up 8.8% year to date. Energy is the soft spot. 13.7 GWh of storage was up about 10% year over year, but well short of the 15.9 GWh analysts expected. $TSLA ir.tesla.com/press-release/t…
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Elon says each @SpaceX Star Mind spacecraft will have over 250 kW of solar power. That's about 20% more than the entire ISS. At that size, it's about 4,000 spacecraft per gigawatt. SpaceX's FCC filing covers up to 1 million of them. Fill that out and you're looking at roughly 250 GW of solar-powered compute in orbit. The ISS was a one-off. Starmind is a production line. $SPCX
Each @SpaceX Star Mind super intelligence spacecraft will have over 250kW of solar power, which is about 20% more than the International Space Station
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Tesla Superchargers delivered 2.4 TWh in Q3, up 29%. That's 69 million sessions, about 750,000 a day. The line I'd watch is Robotaxi, at 7.0 GWh. It's small today, about 0.3% of the total, but it now has its own row. $TSLA
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Getting FSD approved in Europe isn't really about how well it drives. It's about following the rules exactly. Take Switzerland. Go even a little over the speed limit and you get a ticket. So regulators want a hard cap, never above the posted limit. But that's tricky for a system that learned from human drivers. Sometimes keeping up with traffic is actually the safer move. Brian White @FutureAZA makes a good point here. Tesla could just add a "compliant" profile that never goes over the limit. That part's easy. The hard part is reading every sign right. A truck blocks it, a tree covers it, and now the car is capped at the wrong number. $TSLA
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Elon gave China Media Group a 24-minute interview, and the timelines were unusually specific! Cybercab, the one with no steering wheel, is already running commercially in Texas. Florida and Nevada are next, and California likely by mid-2027. It also uses Tesla's own nickel cathode made at Giga Texas, so the supply chain is in-house too. On Optimus, he's talking about a billion robots in 10 years. Reports point to initial orders of around 5,000 units and a ramp toward 2,000 to 2,500 a week. Here's the gap I find interesting. 2,500 a week is about 130,000 a year. A billion in 10 years averages 100 million a year, which is roughly 770x that ramp rate. So the early ramp isn't the story. The production curve after it is. He was also candid on AI. Grok 4.7 is behind Anthropic's Opus 5.5, and he expects xAI to catch the frontier sometime next year. $TSLA
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Data centers on the ground are limited by permits and power. SpaceX's answer is Starmind, orbital AI data centers with about 72 Nvidia chips and up to 175 kW per satellite. That's about 5,700 satellites per gigawatt. Terafab builds the chips, and Starship launches them. @JOBhakdi thinks it goes from gigawatts to terawatts by 2028 or 2029. $SPCX
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Wall Street thinks a gigawatt of orbital compute costs $160 to $180 billion. @JoBhakdi's model says $68 billion all-in, and maybe about $50 billion in the best case. That's a gap of roughly 2.5x, and it changes the whole orbital compute debate! Nvidia GPUs are $30 to $35 billion of that $68 billion, or about half. The rest is mostly launch, and launch costs drop fast once Starship is flying regularly. Put that next to the $40 to $50 billion it costs to build a gigawatt on the ground today. Orbit isn't the expensive option people assume it is, especially once real deployments start around 2028. Elon's bigger claim is that Starlink ends up carrying most of Earth's IP traffic. If compute moves to orbit too, Starlink doesn't just connect to the internet. It becomes it. $SPCX
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I built a GrokBot agent that thinks like Elon Musk about business! Meet ElonBot. Ask it any business question and it answers in first person the way Elon would. It's blunt, it works from first principles, and it pushes back when your plan is dumb. It also runs a built-in Elon Monitor to keep track of all his latest business posts on X. Type "WWED" (What Would Elon Do?) plus your question and you get a 3-line verdict: → The answer → The principle behind it → Your next move today What's inside: Built on 40+ Elon Musk operating principles, 80+ real case studies from Tesla, SpaceX, xAI and Neuralink, and 485+ verified Elon quotes from his X posts, earnings calls, shareholder meetings, the Master Plans and long-form interviews Every answer cites the principle, quote or case study it's built on Who it's for: founders, operators, creators and anyone building something hard. So much fun being able to "talk" to Elon just like he's there right beside you! Example answers in the replies Here's the link to ElonBot: x.ai/bot/cbtthfw3UvUeoLNeh-9…
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